HISTORICAL GOLD EVENT STUDY

Independent data · No investment advice

WAR AND COMMODITY SHOCK

Gold after the Russia–Ukraine invasion

See how the LBMA Gold Price PM moved after Russia’s February 2022 invasion of Ukraine across one-, five-, 20- and 60-session windows.

MEASURED RESULT

The gold-price path after February 24, 2022.

Gold gained 1.66% in the first London PM session and remained 1.42% above its baseline after 20 sessions, but finished 2.55% below the baseline after 60 sessions.

Maximum advance
+7.05%
Maximum drawdown
-5.00%
Study horizon
60 London PM sessions

PRICE COMPARISON

One baseline, four consistent windows.

Returns are measured from the last available London PM benchmark before the event to the specified number of subsequent benchmark sessions.

1 session+1.66%

$1,936.30 per troy ounce

5 sessions+1.25%

$1,928.50 per troy ounce

20 sessions+1.42%

$1,931.75 per troy ounce

60 sessions-2.55%

$1,856.20 per troy ounce

Baseline: $1,904.70 on February 23, 2022. Price source: LBMA Gold Price PM. GoldPriceNow calculations are rounded to two decimal places.

EVENT ANCHOR

Why this date starts the comparison.

Russian military operations began inside Ukraine on February 24, 2022. The study uses the previous London PM benchmark on February 23 as its pre-event baseline.

Event source: United Nations statement on Ukraine, February 24, 2022.

INTERPRETATION

What the price path shows.

A historical return is an observation, not proof that the selected event caused every part of the move.

01

The first-session gain was positive but did not become a straight-line advance. Within the 60-session window, gold rose as much as 7.05% above the pre-event benchmark before reversing.

02

By the 60th session, the benchmark was below its February 23 level. This path shows why an initial safe-haven reaction and a medium-term gold trend should be treated as separate questions.

03

The comparison measures prices around one event anchor. It does not isolate the invasion from simultaneous changes in inflation expectations, interest rates, the dollar, energy markets or monetary policy.

COMPARE ANOTHER SHOCK

Compare the same return windows across military conflict, financial stress and sovereign credit risk.

View the complete geopolitical impact library →

FOLLOW CURRENT CONDITIONS

Use history as context—not as a forecast.

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Independent data · No investment advice.